link: The Lie That is Bookscan Today I had a project rejected by a publisher. It's the author's third book and the prior two books had been well received and have sold well. But according to this publisher, "the Bookscan sales of his two titles have been modest in comparison to the great praise and attention his work has received, and in this economy that’s a very difficult obstacle for us to overcome with our accounts and booksellers."
There's only one problem with this argument: The Bookscan numbers are wrong.
According to the royalty statements I've received, the author's first book has net sales of just under 14,000 copies. According to this editor, Bookscan shows sales just over 7,200 copies. That's nearly a 100% difference!
There's some interesting debate in the comments.
There's only one problem with this argument: The Bookscan numbers are wrong.
According to the royalty statements I've received, the author's first book has net sales of just under 14,000 copies. According to this editor, Bookscan shows sales just over 7,200 copies. That's nearly a 100% difference!
There's some interesting debate in the comments.

Comments
People just don't understand how bookscan works. And if you're a publisher who wants a certain percentage of sales to sell into chains, as that is your business model, then if the bookscan #'s are low, it's a legitimate argument to pass up on further books. However I agree with this statement: "The editor was clearly trying to soften the blow for all involved and grasped at the Bookscan straw without knowing any better."
It appears to me that publishers at this point only want books that will make the NYT list. Everything else is being dropped. Short-term thinking. It's going to bite them hard in a couple of years.
Various alternative models are evolving. It's similar to where the music industry was a decade or so ago. Will be interesting to see where it all goes.
I've been in the business since the early Eighties, and the change in the numbers is really noticeable. It's been a long erosion, but in the past couple of years the pace has accelerated. I see it in the dropping away of formerly reliable royalties, the dramatic reduction in available markets for submissions, the disappearance of whole tribes of publishing staff (over half the editors one of my agents submitted one of my mss. to last summer have since been let go)--it's scary out there.
Alternative options are looking more and more like the way to go.